美国经济前景乐观 黄金跌势将延续
关键字：美国经济、黄金跌势
金价昨日从1337回调下来，今早最低1278附近，主要是由于中国国庆假期导致买盘减少，以及美国政府停止运作引致，至少一名以上的投资者大量抛售黄金持仓。
现货黄金周二时段（十月一日）由于美国总统奥巴马与两党无法达成共识，令拨款不能如期通过，所以令非紧急政府部门要度过至少一个星期的无薪假期，令美国平均每周损失80亿，消息令美元走弱，本应会令黄金高位1449点再随势而上。由于上次议息声明，削减购债主要关注失业率，所以周二时段市场反应十分大，令金价大跌破1300。
金价隔夜跌破1300，美国债务谈判僵局并未引发投资者太大的担忧，周二公布的美国ISM制造业指数升至56.2好于预期，继续提升美国经济前景乐观预期。亚市金价一度短暂跌至1277.80美元，不过目前迅速反弹，现货金现报1291美元。
金价大幅下挫结束连续6日的盘整行情，美国政府关门对金融市场影响有限，避险需求的下降使得黄金首先遭到抛售。另外，潜在的通胀进一步回落风险也使得黄金失去了抗通胀的魅力，加上各大投行依然看空金价前景，导致价格最终向下突破录得新低。目前来看，这种跌势可能将延续下跌，因为几乎没有重要的支撑因素足以让金价改变这种格局。
预料今日黄金价格于1280-1299区间横行上落。
后市需关注两会未来几日发展，短期窄幅三角下方区间已打开，下方支持位于六月份低位1272附近。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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