王垣鑫：强劲美元持续压制金价，市场静候非农指引
导语：今日晚间美盘将公布一月一度的非农数据。4月非农数据公布之后现货黄金价格短时间内迅速拉升，不过后市未能有效站稳随即重新回归原本的震荡下跌走势当中。当下正值鲍威尔排除下个月进一步大幅加息可能性之际， 加上ADP数据表现欠佳的情况下，如果非农数据亦缺乏亮眼表现的话，或有机会令金价出现大幅度反弹。
大田环球贵金属提示：2022年5月公布的为2021年4月非农数据
- 市场基本面
美联储公布利率决议加息50个基点。
ADP数据表现不佳。
鲍威尔讲话排除6月份加息75个基点的可能
- 数据分析
美国劳工部4月1日公布的数据显示，美国3月失业率环比下降0.2个百分点至3.6%，但非农部门新增就业人数仅为43.1万，远低于市场普遍预期。本次市场预计失业率将进一步走低至3.5%，非农部门新增就业人数增加38万。
- 技术面走势
昨日早间亚盘开盘后金价小幅延续反弹，虽然在1903附近受阻并出现回落，但下方1890附近位置支撑效果良好，晚间价格站稳后再度刷新日内反弹高点，但上方1910一线位置压力效果强劲，金价承压后开始大幅回落短短三个小时内直接收回日内所有上行幅度，凌晨时价格虽然在1872附近暂时止住跌势并小幅反弹，但从目前情况来看金价止跌迹象并不是十分明显。
- 后市行情参考
昨日金价大幅冲高虚破MA5和MA10两道均线压力后回落录得带长上影线的K线形态，目前价格重新回到MA5均线压力的下方，MACD指标双线死叉下行的状态并没有任何的改变，暗示经过昨天一轮冲高测试后价格依旧维持弱势，因此如果本次非农出现利空的话，不排除后市金价有进一步打开下行空间的可能。
（建议仅供参考，入市有风险，投资需谨慎）
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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