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王垣鑫:多頭散盡空倉至,價似銀河落九天

關鍵字:美國防疫刺激計畫、現貨黃金

昨日金價出現大幅回落,在亞盤開盤後金價於2030位置承壓下行,回落幅度達到驚人的近130美元,雖然價格在觸及1901一線後出現短暫反彈,但空頭並未就此甘休,今日早間再度下挫,最低一度刺穿1880一線,整體表現非常弱勢。

 

美國防疫刺激計畫深陷僵局

自從上週五以來,四個談判的主要負責人財長姆努欽、白宮幕僚長馬克·梅多斯、眾議院議長南茜·佩洛西和參議院少數党領袖查克·舒默還沒有會談過。參議院多數党領袖米奇·麥康奈爾和舒默,週二繼續在參議院唇槍舌劍,但都沒有提出妥協的新思路。

白宮方面稱,要重啟談判,民主黨人必須減少對州和地方援助以及每週補充失業金600美元的要求。而民主黨人則表示,白宮必須同意支出規模比其已經提出的1萬億美元高出1萬億美元。美國有關新一輪防疫刺激計畫的談判,至今仍未制定明確的時間表,這意味著美國兩黨之間的僵局可能會持續數周時間。

王垣鑫:多頭散盡空倉至,價似銀河落九天

避險需求削弱黃金大幅回檔

美國10年期國債收益率創下6月以來最高漲幅,大大降低了黃金的吸引力。疊加俄羅斯疫苗消息、令人鼓舞的經濟資料推動風險偏好回升,也令金價承壓。現貨黃金價格自2075美元/盎司高位開啟回落以來,已經收回了200美元的上漲幅度。

雖然日線級別方面ma5均線壓力,仍在1980美元/盎司一線上方,kdj指標走低亦有回檔需求,但目前黃金多頭獲利了結情況嚴重,配合避險情緒的削弱,短時間內料將維持弱勢。日內可以4h級別ma5均線為壓力參考點,短線上估計仍要測試1870美元/盎司一線支撐,下方重點留意1820美元/盎司一線關鍵分水嶺。思路上以逢高做空為主,在沒有上破4h級別ma5均線壓力前,不建議進行太過激進的抄底動作。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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