熊傲君:非農報喜攔截金價,但多頭趨勢難逆轉
關鍵字:非農數據,現貨黃金多頭
導語:上一周,現貨黃金表現依然靚麗,在週五之前仍然不斷刷新歷史,直至非農數據公佈後出現快速的高位回落,才暫停了金價歷史的步伐,並且迎來了罕見的大幅度跳水,不過依然連續第九周收陽。可見,雖然多頭的強勁勢頭受到了阻礙,但現階段還是難以改變趨勢。
非農數據助美元回升
美國勞工部在上周五美盤時段公佈的數據顯示,美國7月非農就業人口變動季調後176.3萬,6月非農就業人口變動季調後修正為479.1萬。7月份,休閒和酒店業、政府、零售貿易業、專業和商業服務業、其他服務業和醫療保健領域的就業人數顯著增加,增幅創有記錄以來第三高水準。
受非農的利好以外,特朗普還加大了聯邦救濟力度,使得美元短期出現強勢低位反撲,創下自6月11日以來的最大漲幅。此前美元指數因為國際形勢和持續寬鬆的環境下,走出了極弱的趨勢,一度下跌4%,創下10年來最大月度百分比跌幅,投資者紛紛轉向歐元和貴金屬。
黃金吸引力依然巨大
儘管黃金價格迎來了二個月以來的最大跌幅,不過考慮黃金今年自低位上漲以來,大回調的次數屈指可數,出現高位修正是非常合理的事情,加上週五收線的緣故,市場選擇高位獲利了結也是合乎常情,不能說黃金的吸引力已經大幅下降,而且未來還有眾多的利好消息在迎接黃金多頭。
比如說,現階段美國正在商討的援助計畫,在與民主黨關於疫情紓困計畫的又一輪談判無果而終後,美國財政部長姆努欽稱,他將建議總統特朗普採取行政行動,以禁止驅逐租客並可能恢復一些失業救濟措施。最近幾個月美國政府的大規模支出可能損害美元,從而進一步讓美元受壓,加上持續寬鬆還將維持數月,這難以讓金價出現大跌。
總結:上周黃金因非農數據出現回調,可能暫時也只是正常的修正局面,至少現階段來看,難以找到多頭趨勢改變的更多線索,所以在此之前,還是要保持看多思路,直至市場出現明顯的轉捩點。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
最新內容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.