黄绍山:“世纪谈判”的回顾与展望
在多番反复以及艰难的情况下,美朝关系从原本的紧张局面到达在6月12日双方举行会晤峰会,途中出现的意外导致峰会即将取消,之后美朝双方态度又逐渐软化,而令到本次峰会又有起息,那么下面我们大田环球贵金属可以带大家具体回顾一下本次美朝峰会的坎坷道路。
事件回顾:
自从在5月16日朝鲜单方面取消朝韩高级别会谈后,朝鲜局势明显稍有有所恶化,加上5月21日大田环球据消息得知,美国副总统在接受媒采访时表示到朝鲜方面不要指望美国会做出妥协,因为朝鲜并没打算信守自己的承诺,如果金正恩认为自己可以戏弄特朗普,那他就大错特错了。此番言论后,朝鲜方面反应更为强烈,态度十分强硬,这便使得原本缓和的局势又再次的紧张起来。
此后5月24日,特朗普单方面给金正恩一封公开信,并宣布将取消两人原定于6月12日的新加坡会晤。在收到本次会晤取消后,黄金市场迎来一段剧烈的避险情绪出现,而朝鲜方面则继续如期的拆除核试验,美国总统特朗普后续在5月26日又再次表示期待与金正恩的会晤能够如期举行。
谈判预期:
虽然特朗普不停变更关于朝鲜的会晤问题,但最终我们从几个方面能够看到未来美朝会晤即将发生的可能性。其中一方面在北京时间5月27日有消息报道,美方代表团当天在板门店与朝鲜官员就双方领导人会晤的准备工作举行会谈。5月29日,朝鲜高级官员金永哲乘坐飞机前往美国,并与美国官员就朝鲜领导人金正恩与美国总统特朗普对在新加坡举行的会晤进行磋商。
而另外据报道称,5月28日美国决定推迟对朝鲜新一轮的重大制裁措施,在白宫原本准备在周二宣布对朝鲜加强制裁措施,但在周一决定将相关制裁措施无限期推延,同时与朝鲜进行谈判。
大田环球贵金属分析师黄绍山认为,从以上几个方面,我们能够清晰看到对比之前只是口头中的说法,目前双方真的切切实实正在磋商峰会的细节和时间等等,若双方如无意外谈拢成功,相信在相信在本周内,特金会将会抉择出如期进行,还是择日到哪一天。同时未来半岛局势将会逐渐平和。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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