黄绍山：中美贸易战持续消退
大田环球贵金属消息得知，美国财政部部长姆努钦在5月20日当日表示，中美两国在贸易框架方面已达成协议，同意停止贸易战。而在声明当中结论部分一共六段，而总结下来分别是双方同意：采取有效的措施，实质性地减少美国对中国货物的贸易逆差、有意义地增加美国农产品和能源的进出口、如何扩大制造业产品和服务贸易，创造有利条件增加上述领域的贸易达成共识进行讨论、高度重视双方知识产权保护、鼓励双向投资、双方同意就此继续保持高层沟通的六项协议。
当中美贸易战达成协议，贸易战情绪开始持续消退的时候，欧盟与日本方面又有不一样的动作出现。5月18日，大田环球贵金属据新闻得知，欧盟向世贸组织表示，已经准备好对美国钢铝关税开展报复性措施，同时包括对摩托车，波旁威士忌等进行增加关税的征收。欧盟指出受到美方增加钢材关税措施的影响价值53亿欧元，铝则为11.1亿欧元，若不能得到永久的豁免，欧盟出口将会因此而受到严重损害，同时欧盟坚决要求获得永久免去关税的待遇，为磋商中拥有实质性的贸易利益。
而日本方面也向世界贸易组织作出告知，并将会准备好对价值500亿日元的美国商品征收关税，采取报复措施，反对美国对钢铁以及铝制品方面征收关税，但日本方面并未进一步透露征收美国关税物品的清单。
大田环球贵金属分析师黄绍山认为，本次贸易消息方面率先由欧盟与日本发起所谓的报复性措施消息，短期内令到黄金市场避险情绪稍微高涨，并于上周五收盘前出现小幅冲高，但随后于北京时间5月20日周日中美贸易战达成多方面磋商后，贸易战避险情绪持续减退，今日现货黄金开盘后开始回落，并抹平周五涨幅甚至创出新低，后市黄金方面依旧持续弱势，而美元方面持续走强，冲击至94上方。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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