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黄绍山:非农晚间即将重磅来袭

美联储本周周四凌晨利率决议不变,美联储政策声明对于经济方面措辞稍微偏鸽,导致现货黄金短时间内冲高回落,而本周最后焦点即将落在晚间的非农就业人口数据上。大田环球分析师黄绍山认为在本次中美谈判、中东局势不稳定、以及美元涨势暂缓的背景下,晚间非农数据不用质疑也将是本周的重磅焦点。

黄绍山:非农晚间即将重磅来袭大田环球贵金属据数据分析,本次非农就业人数预计为19.2万,近期美国就业方面逐渐恢复此前强势的增长,每月新增保持在15万就业人数以上基本达标。除此之外晚间公布的失业率、以及薪资增速也一直备受市场关注,本次失业率预期仍然给出了4%,已经连续6个月没有任何变动,此预期依然是处于2000年以来失业率的低位。而薪资年率方面本次预期2.7%与前值相等,尽管多数人希望薪资能够大幅度增长,但是若然有越来越多的新增就业人口进入美国劳动市场,薪资水平方面可能会因此被打压。

大田环球分析师黄绍山认为晚间非农数据若不出意外,数据整体上达到预期,薪资水平增长,失业率下降,那么美元无疑将会继续回归上涨势头,而黄金恐防突破1300关口,反而之非农等数据出现意外,美元涨势或难以继续承接,黄金则有望筑底上涨。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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