林幽沃：周初走势成关键 注意炒作热点转换
在上周收盘之际，黄金空头再度举步进场砸盘，令金价在数分钟内达到10美元的跌幅，从1284一路下跌至最低点1273附近，再度回归到震荡区间内，导致短期方向依然未决，金价已经理了三周的震荡期，未来数日将会决定金价突破方向的可能性较大。
接下来我们需要关注：
- 时间点：美联储下一次议息决议将在12月中旬举行，现在时间正值11月中旬，就是说还有20天左右的交易日的时间，相信将会近期开始有所反应。但市场对于12月将会进行一次加息的步伐已有预料，有可能现时价格已包含该预期，更加期待的将是2018的加息次数与新主席对货币政策偏向性。
- 延续性：上周在突破区间到达1288后，行情已经有小幅突破的迹象，但最终多次冲击都无法再突破1290压力的走势，令空头捉住机会大单进场砸盘，跌破较多的重要均线。整体走势需要已经有震荡上行的局面，但延续性的欠缺依然是无法出现趋势行情的重点，所以就算后市再度向下或向上突破，也要注意突破后的上涨幅度与是否连续突破压力或支撑。
- 循环走势：现时有分大循环和小循环走势，①小循环：前两周的走势围绕着周一震荡上升至周四，周五空头进场砸盘收大阴线，这样两周的走势令行情变成震荡上行的局面。②大循环：近两年来每到年末，在12月美联储宣布加息计划前都会有一定的空头行情，但最终也能在次年上涨。
从几点上看出，现处于12月加息前的炒作时间内，金价短线震荡上行，但周五的砸盘令到k线收于大部分均线下方，多空依然处于纠结的阶段上。本周初可以先观察是否按照之前的走势循环，如在周初不能收复上周五跌幅，即空头有机会胜利，如收复跌幅并延续震荡上行，则把1305将为重要压力。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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