林幽沃：耶伦揉虐黄金多头 暂看1280支撑
昨日现货黄金通过一天一夜的震荡上行走势诱多后，在9月议息结果公布前一度走上1315重要压力位，但也没有站稳该线，为后面的暴跌埋下伏笔。在决议声明指出，10月将启动“缩表”程序，市场预期流动性将会大幅减小，货币政策在未来将以缓慢的方式进行收紧，令美元指数大幅反弹，导致金价跌破1300大关，而后市走势也没有收复失地，导致中短期内还有一定的下跌空间。
在过后的发布会上，耶伦进一步确立收紧货币政策的信号：
①预期在12月将会加息，2018年预期将加息3次。
②通胀低迷归咎于短期现象，长期将会逐步提升。
③强劲的就业市场将为美国经济打好基石。
总结，耶伦在发布会上的讲话比预期上更加鹰派，以就业市场的强劲为基础，相信美国经济未来将会持续走好，大胆地将加息与“缩表”同时进行，货币政策将进一步的向收紧方面发展。
Ps：市场在预期时只消化了“缩表”的规模与关于通胀低迷方面的炒作，而耶伦的发言中将未来的加息路径在现时重点提及超出了市场预期，导致非美品种可能会陷入中期调整。
金价跌破1300后小时图毫无收复失地的走势，后市依然有继续探底的可能性较大，需要将思路立即有所调整，现在同时面临10周线的支撑与消息极度利空的矛盾状况，建议以1302-03作为日内多空分割线，在此以下空方占优。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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