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你当前所在页面: 大田环球首页 > 新闻资讯 > 财经新闻 > 西太平洋银行:纽元/美元本周前景依然看涨

西太平洋银行:纽元/美元本周前景依然看涨

关键字:纽元兑美元

西太平洋银行外汇分析师Imre Speizer表示,纽元/美元本周前景依然看涨。新西兰联储的收紧政策周期将继续为纽元提供支持。只要汇价守住0.8600(此前数年区间顶部),汇价仍有望测试历史高位0.8840。

纽元已成为年内表现最佳的货币,兑美元上涨了5.7%。在新西兰利率市场触及过度消化全部的收紧周期的节点之前,纽元仍有上行潜力。投机性头寸尚未达到极限。

对我们的观点构成关键风险的来自新西兰和美国。若纽元升值快于基本面,若房屋市场放缓幅度大于新西兰联储的预期,那么新西兰联储现金利率(OCR)可能需要下跌。对于美国,未来数月美国经济数据有意外走高的可能,这将提振美元。

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