高盛：看贬美元 建议做多欧元
关键字：美元、欧元
美元相对于欧元、日圆10日受美国上周五公布的非农业就业数据不如预期影响而走贬。嘉实XQ全球赢家系统报价显示，截至10日纽约汇市尾盘为止欧元兑美元升值0.01%至1.3633。美元兑日圆贬值0.09%至102.18、3个交易日以来首度走贬。
美国非农业新增就业人数连续第2个月不如市场预期，2014年1月仅新增113,000人、低于分析师预期的185,000人。联储局主席珍妮特耶伦(Janet Yellen)首场国会听证会将于美东时间11日上午10时整于众议院金融服务委员会豋场。
英国金融时报报导，巴克莱证券预期联邦公开市场操作委员会(FOMC)在接下来的每次会议均将宣布缩减月度买债金额100亿美元、并于今年10月全面终结买债计划。IFR Markets全球策略师Divyang Shah指出，如果FED真的担心景气转弱、那么前瞻指引的措词可能会更加坚定，而不是维持/扩大量化宽松货币政策(QE)。
彭博社10日报导，高盛证券首席汇率分析师Thomas Stolper在受访时指出，期待美元相对于欧元、日圆、英镑大涨的投资人可能会失望。原因？Stolper预期未来6个月内投资游资将持续进入欧元区、英国，带动英镑兑美元升至1.69、欧元兑美元升至1.40。
Stolper提到，美元兑日圆预估将维持在95-105区间，直到联储局(FED)接近升息(注：预估在明年下半年)时才有机会突破、朝120迈进。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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