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美国经济复苏加快 美联储持续减码

关键字:美国经济

迹象显示美国经济复苏脚步加快、引发市场预期联储局(FED)将持续减码量化宽松货币政策(QE),美国10年期公债殖利率22日走扬。Bloomberg Bond Trader报价显示,纽约债市21日尾盘时,10年期公债殖利率上涨3个基点至2.86%;该殖利率上周五(1月17日)曾跌至2.82%、创去(2013)年12月11日以来新低。债券价格与殖利率呈现反向走势。金融信息服务机构Markit Economics即将在明(23)日公布美国1月制造业采购经理人指数。根据彭博社调查,经济学家普遍预期美国1月制造业采购经理人指数将由前月的54.4攀升至55。另一份调查则显示,全美不动产协会(NAR)即将公布,去年12月成屋销售量增加了0.6%,表现优于前月的下滑4.3%。

此外,英国就业报告表现强劲,也为全球经济复苏增添类观气氛,让债券面临更多卖压。英国国家统计局指出,2013年9至11月失业人口剧减16.7万人至232万人,创15年最大减幅,这使得失业率一下子掉了3个百分点至7.1%,距央行的升息门坎仅剩一步之遥。联邦公开市场操作委员会(FOMC)即将在1月28-29日召开货币政策会议。彭博社报导,FTN Financial机构债券研究部主管Jim Vogel表示,市场似乎暗示FED可以将每个月的买债规模进一步缩减100亿美元。他说,制造业活动表现强劲,甚至有逐渐增强的态势。华尔街日报报导,TD Securities美国研究部副主任Millan Mulraine预估,FED可能会宣布将每个月的买债规模再次缩减100亿美元至650亿美元。

 

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