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11月美国密歇根消费者信心指数高于预期

关键字:11月美国密歇根消费者信心指数

美国景气展望转好推升消费者信心回温。路透社/密歇根大学27日公布,11月消费者信心指数终值为75.1(初值为72),高于10月份的73.2与路透社调查预估的73.5。

密大信心调查首席经济学家Richard Curtin表示,尽管低利率环境与股市荣景增强了顶层消费者信心,但低受薪户仍对就业市况感到忧虑。

现况分项指数自10月的89.9下滑至88点。消费者现况分项指数通常与股市、就业市场具有高度关联性,也反映出美国众对自身财务状况与是否进行大额采购的看法。

代表消费者对于未来6个月景气看法的期望指数,自前月的62.5上升至66.8;一年期通膨率预估由3.1%降至2.9%;5至10年期通膨率预期持平于2.9%。

密大消费者信心指数自1978年公布迄今,美国共计历经5次衰退,经济萎缩期间信心指数平均值为69.3。最近一次经济衰退为期18个月并于2009年6月结束,期间指数平均为64.2,而此前5年指数平均值为89。

 

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