加息前景重挫美股，美元三连跌黄金小幅走低
周四(1月13日)随着美债收益率全面下滑，美元指数创下5月份以来最大三天跌幅；G-10货币兑美元大多上涨，日元表现最佳，而挪威克朗跌幅最大。现货黄金小幅下跌，收于1822美元附近，在最新经济数据令通胀预期有所缓和之后，投资者获利回吐。美油跌逾1%，投资者担心美国将大举加息，在连续两天上涨后获利了结，但预期经济强劲复苏将在供应吃紧之际提振需求，限制了跌幅。
美国12月PPI同比增长9.7%，续刷纪录
美国12月PPI同比增长9.7%，虽然略低于预期值9.8%，但是仍创2010年该数据有记录以来最高水平。美国12月PPI环比仅增长0.2%（增速低于预期值0.4%），且创2020年11月以来新低，因汽油和食品价格下降。这些数据表明，在材料和劳动力短缺以及运输瓶颈共同推动价格在去年飙升之后，快速上升的通胀可能即将缓解。不过随着奥密克戎的肆虐，新冠疫情仍对PPI数据构成上行风险。
美联储布雷纳德：美联储联邦基金利率是应付通胀的主要工具
美联储官员表示，政策工具用于解决需求端的问题，而不是供给侧的问题。美联储将用自己“强有力的”工具来压低通胀。对高水平的通胀感到非常担心。美联储承诺将让通胀回落至目标水平。FOMC预计，2022年年底的美国通胀接近2.5%。必须非常谨慎地对待通胀预期。美联储没有工具来应对市场集中化。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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