股市大跌后反弹，美元走高黄金回升至1800之上
周一(1月10日)美元兑除日元外的所有发达市场货币全线上涨，绝大多数期限的美债收益率上升。金价震荡走高，现货黄金收报1801.68美元/盎司，美元指数上涨势头有所减弱，提振了外国投资者对黄金的需求。布油尾盘跌近1%，市场正在评估中亚地缘政治风险，并担心奥密克戎变异毒株的迅速传播可能导致对原油的需求放缓。
鲍威尔证词讲稿：美联储将确保通胀不会在美国经济扎根
美联储主席鲍威尔在为周二参议院听证会准备的讲稿中表示，美国劳动力市场强劲，必须前瞻性地考量政策，将用工具来支持经济和就业市场。美联储将阻止更高的通胀变得根深蒂固，恐怕后新冠肺炎疫情时期的经济可能会有别于疫情爆发之前的那一轮扩张。
市场预计美联储3月份加息概率近90%，2月联邦基金利率期货合约交易火爆
大量资金投入美国短期固定利率市场，因为交易员认为美联储在3月货币政策会议上加息的预期概率为86％。在此之前，包括高盛在内的一些银行策略师调整了预测，预计美联储今年会加息四次。交易员正在追随这些预期，涌入2月交割的联邦基金利率期货，未平仓合约因此激增。截至上周五收盘，该合约的未平仓头寸数量超过20万份，名义价值超过1万亿美元。这在截至2023年6月的所有期限中是是最多的。该合约将于2月28日到期，之所以引起人们的兴趣，是因为它是美联储3月16日利率决策前到期的最后一个联邦基金利率期货合约。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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