美元走低黄金突破1830，美油飙升3%
周二(11月9日)美元指数小幅下跌，投资者等待周三将公布的通胀数据以衡量物价是否加速上升。黄金期货价格录得连续第四个交易日上涨，创7月7日以来的最长连续上涨时长纪录，美国10月生产者价格指数显示通胀继续上涨，令金价得到支撑。美油尾盘涨逾3%，报84.57美元/桶，收于近二周来最高水平；因美国一份能源报告预测明年原油供应会增加，导致市场揣测拜登政府可能搁置释放该国紧急储备的计划。
美国政府略微上调2021年原油价格预期，大体维持2022年油价预期不变
美国能源信息署（EIA）：预计2021年WTI原油价格为69.02美元/桶（之前预计为68.48美元/桶），预计2022年为68.28美元/桶（之前预计为68.24美元/桶）。预计2021年布伦特原油价格为71.59美元/桶（之前预计为71.38美元/桶），预计2022年为71.91美元/桶（之前预计为71.91美元/桶）。
分析师：2022年对风险资产的友好度会下降
大田环球分析师表示，2022年的全球展望对风险资产的友好度可能会下降，但现在转离顺周期为时尚早。市场在2021年已经吃掉了大部分暂时性通胀的蛋糕，因此2022年可能剩下的有限。虽然股票受到的约束比信贷小，但按绝对值计算估值也已经很高。不过与信贷和国债市场相比，美国股票估值看似没有“特别紧绷”。市场在本次周期首次相对于宏观环境显得昂贵。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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