美元上扬黄金延续震荡,油价涨逾2%
周四(7月22日)美元指数扳回盘中0.3%跌幅,反映了欧元未能守住由欧洲央行会后声明引发的涨幅;欧洲央行此前表示,在实现通胀目标之前,预计利率将保持在当前或更低的水平。金价走高,现货黄金收报1806.92美元/盎司,美国上周初请失业救济人数意外上升。投资者还在关注欧洲央行的最新货币政策声明。油价涨逾2%,延续了前三个交易日的涨势;美油、布油均收复本周以来全部跌幅,分别刷新本周高点至72.03美元/桶、73.90美元/桶;随着经济从新冠危机中复苏,市场预计供应紧张将持续到2021年年底。
欧洲央行行长拉加德:要想加息,通胀率不能低于2%。
欧洲行长拉加德表示,第三季度经济数据有望强劲增长,预计明年一季度恢复到疫情前水平。预计通胀上升的情况是暂时的,中期通胀前景远低于欧洲央行的目标。绝大多数官员支持调整前瞻指引,没有讨论紧急抗疫购债计划(PEPP)的未来。9月的预测更能说明经济前景,将影响欧洲央行未来的政策
美国或最快10月触及债务上限
当地时间7月21日,美国国会预算办公室表示,除非美国国会提高或暂停债务上限,否则美国可能在今年10月或11月出现债务违约。美国国会预算办公室当天发布报告说,根据2019年8月生效的跨党派预算法案,美国国会同意暂时取消债务上限的限制、允许美国财政部发行新债直至2021年7月31日;从今年8月1日开始,债务上限将恢复生效。如果美国国会不通过新的立法提高债务上限或者暂停其生效,美国财政部将不能继续发行新债,只能启动非常规现金管理措施来偿还债务。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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