美联储政策论调转变，贵金属全线暴跌
周五(6月18日)在美联储布拉德表示明年可能适合加息后，美元指数走高，盘中升至92.40，为4月中以来最高水平；欧元、英镑兑美元触及逾两个月新低，商品货币随美股走低，挪威克朗和纽元领跌。现货黄金尾盘跌近10美元，报1764.16美元/盎司，本周跌逾6%，美联储的政策立场倾向于鹰派，推动美元走强，使金价本周录得2020年3月以来的最大单周跌幅。
美国圣路易斯联储主席布拉德：将给市场充足的时间来应对减码，明年开始加息可能是合适之举
布拉德称，将给市场充足的时间来应对减码，美联储需要做好必要时进行调整的准备，美联储将在接下来几次会议上继续就减码展开辩论。需要调整一些政策来实现通胀目标，加密货币走势并不反映纯粹的通胀押注。我的点阵图显示利率将在2022年底回升。鉴于通胀率预期将高于美联储2％的目标，明年开始加息可能是合适之举。但你必须知道，这些与预测的经济状态有关。我的预测是2021年核心PCE为3%，2022年核心PCE为2.5%，如果实际情况如预期所料，那么到2022年底，已经有两年通胀率达到2.5-3％。
大宗商品下跌是买入机会
大田环球分析师表示，大宗商品市场最近的大幅抛售正是买入的机会。从当前的下跌中复苏需要比最近的其他反弹更长的时间，但他在周五给客户的报告中指出，市场持续面临供应短缺。唯一可以抵御实际物价上涨的因素是加息，而不是谈论加息。 看涨大宗商品的论点与通胀风险和美联储的前瞻指引都没有关系，而是与稀缺性和强劲的实物需求有关。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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