经济数据乐观 金价依旧苦苦支撑
关键词: 经济数据乐观
金价上周整体走势一度保持低迷局面,在周初更是跌破了1700的大关,在相当接近前低之际,终于成功守住支撑反弹,最终出现大幅回升。不过由于周五晚的非农数据表现理想,所以黄金可能在本周有继续承压的风险,具体还要结合市场的基本面跟进。
全球经济数据整体都比较乐观,提振市场的风险偏好,全球股市普遍上涨,一度令金价大跌3月份,中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)为51.9%,高于上月1.3个百分点,制造业景气回升。非制造业商务活动指数为56.3%,较上月上升4.9个百分点,表明非制造业扩张有所加快。
法国3月制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)终值为59.3,触及2000年9月以来最高,2月为56.1。这高于初值58.8,且进一步远离50的景气荣枯分水岭。
德国3月制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)终值为66.6,持平创纪录的初值;欧元区3月制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)终值为62.5,高于初值62.4以及2月的57.9,为1997年6月以来最高。英国3月制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)终值从初值57.9上修至58.9,创逾10年最高位。
在17年来最强订单和生产数据加持下,美国制造业在3月份录得了1983年以来最快的扩张速度。
全球股市上周普遍上涨,上证指数上周上涨1.93%;德国股市上周上涨1.95%,创历史记录新高;法国股市上周上涨1.5%,创逾一年新高;斯托克600指数上周上涨1.14%,创逾一年新高,且逼近历史记录高点;日本股市和韩国股市上周均上涨2.3%;泰国股市上周上涨1.4%,创逾一年新高;标普500指数上周上涨1.14%,创历史记录新高,而且顶破4000点整数关口。
上周初在美国经济力道以及美债收益率升势的助推下,美元一举创下近五个月新高至93.44,也对金价压制明显。美国10年前国债收益率本周最高曾触及1.774%,为逾一年新高,是上周初金价大跌的原因之一。
来到本周的话,会有更多的制造业数据为主,届时会对市场给出更直观的经济复苏局面,另外重点将会继续是美联储官员的讲话以及美联储货币纪要,当然,拜登的刺激计划最新情况也需时刻关注。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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