美元回落股市下跌，黄金维持稳定
关键词：黄金维持稳定
3月19日，现货黄金小幅度上涨，有希望连续两周上涨，由于美元指数冲高回落，市场通胀情绪以及股市下跌带来的不安情绪支撑金价高位，但美债收益率维持高位，对金价上涨有一定牵制。
在美国国债收益率持续上升的情况下，股市波动支撑了对黄金的避险需求，且通胀担忧挥之不去，周五金价几乎交投于平盘，势创自今年初以来首次连续两周上涨。金价在连续两个月下跌后企稳，此前通胀担忧推高了国债收益率。随着投资者纷纷从避险资产转向风险更高的资产，黄金今年已下跌约8%，但黄金对冲通胀的作用为金价提供了一些支撑。
德商银行称，紧张不安的股市投资者正在提供额外的支撑。不断上升的美债收益率(对黄金构成压力)和对股市的担忧(倾向于提供支持)之间的拉锯战仍在继续。德国商业银行分析师Eugen Weinberg称，预计金价将在未来几周见底。
美国10年期国债收益率周五有所回落，上个交易日在逾一年高位附近徘徊，美元在盘中触及逾一周高位后下滑，分析师指出，10年期公债收益率略有下降，此前较高的美元也有所回落。如果利率形势开始稳定，我们可能会看到黄金的表现略改善。
分析师表示，由于美联储表现鸽派、地缘政治关系紧张，金价稳定维持在1730美元上方。在谨慎的市场情绪下，贵金属仍然得到支撑，而拜登的刺激方案继续帮助金价降低了下行风险。鉴于美联储一再暗示短期内不会加息，这对不提供利息收益的黄金而言是个好消息，但美债收益率上涨的预期可能限制金价的上涨空间。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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