美指回落，金价大幅反弹
关键词：金价大幅反弹
8月21日，现货黄金价格出现巨大跌幅，由于美元走强且美国经济数据好于市场预期，缓解市场对经济复苏的担忧，但之后美元指数出现回落，美债收益率下滑，现货黄金从低位出现大幅度反弹。
美国7月份二手房销量高于预期，因抵押贷款利率下降继续推动住宅市场的发展，楼市正在成为经济复苏的关键动力之一。美元攀升，还因为欧元区经济意外失去动能。
经济数据改善将开始影响黄金的走势，当经济复苏达到一定程度时，美联储将感到是时候取消一些支持了，显然，我们距离这个阶段还有很长的路要走–大多数经济体，包括美国在内，都远远低于疫情前的经济活动水平。
COMEX 12月黄金期货收涨0.50美元，结算价报1947.00美元/盎司。渣打银行分析师Suki Cooper表示：“由于仓位疲软、刺激计划协议推迟、美元和实际利率反弹，金价经历了过山车般的一周。除非进一步获利了结，否则我们认为黄金较长期的上行趋势仍然完好无损，鉴于我们对美元将进一步走软和刺激规模的预期，同时我们也预计利率将保持在低位或负值。”
近几个交易日对冲基金齐声警告投资者不要追逐黄金市场，因金价在每盎司2000美元的水准强于预期的近期阻力位后，难以找到动能。投资者应该等待黄金价格调整后再进入市场。Mobius发表此番言论之际，黄金正面临一波抛售压力，此前美联储未能就利率预期提供任何新的指导，并表示他们认为限制债券收益率没有任何好处。
尽管黄金市场的人气一直相当强劲，但许多分析师表示，市场即将进入盘整阶段。本月初，黄金持续刷新纪录高位，较年初上涨了36%以上。一些分析师曾表示，金价可能回落至每盎司1800美元，但长期仍将维持看涨的立场。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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