市场逢低买入,黄金反弹50美元
关键词:黄金反弹50美元
7月28日,虽然早前金价出现明显下跌,但在晚间金价出现巨大反弹,虽然短期投资者从近期上涨中获利了结,让金价一度下行,但市场走势动荡,且投资者预测黄金将继续上涨。美元依旧疲软,地缘政治局势加剧等,对金价构成明显支撑。
连续三个交易日创主力合约收盘历史新高,且连续两天收于1900美元/盎司关口上方,盘中一度涨至1974.70美元/盎司。分析师表示,当有强劲动能进场时,就会有很多希望迅速获利的投机客,基本面并未改变,导致通胀的赤字和低利率仍将存在,所以没有理由不持有黄金,真的。
分析师表示,短期来看,金价涨势有些过头,回调或已经开始。黄金在8个交易日内涨了10%,以任何标准衡量都处于超买状态。从战略角度来看,看涨金属的理由仍未改变,但从近期看来,部分ETF投资者可能会想要获利了结,这些投资者自金价低于目前高点500美元以来,每个月都在建立头寸。在短期之后,宽松的货币将会持续实施,并为黄金提供支撑,但没有什么是可以直线上升的,现在看起来是一个盘整的好时机。
随着短期期货交易员从近期的上涨中获利了结,黄金和白银价格都出现了正常的回调。不过,在这两种金属仍处在非常强劲的牛市中,仍看好投资者很快会逢低买入。推动贵金属上涨的因素仍然存在,包括主要工业国家内的新冠肺炎感染人数仍在上升、新的封锁措施、美国仍在讨论中的1万亿美元刺激方案,美元指数走低并接近2年新低,国际关系,以及黄金ETF购买量的激增。
黄金价格料在未来12个月升至每盎司2300美元,对美元能在多长时间内保持储备货币地位的担忧已开始浮现。
美元指数周二从两年低点反弹,但在美国冠状病毒病例激增之际,美元指数似乎可能进一步走软。投资者目前正等待周三为期两天的美联储政策会议结果,此前美联储宣布将多项贷款工具延长至年底。有人预计,全球抗击大流行病遭遇挫折将促使美联储主席鲍威尔表示利率会更长时间保持接近零的水平。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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