非农数据比预期要好，黄金从高位回落
关键词：黄金从高位回落
5月8日晚，由于美国非农就业数据的降幅低于市场预期，美元有所上涨，黄金从千七高位回落。同时此次非农数据也带给市场信心，经济逐渐重启改善了市场情绪，欧美股市以及美债收益率逐渐回升，美联储进一步放缓国债购买，对金价造成一定打压。
美国劳工部公布的数据显示，美国4月份非农就业减少2050万人，将失业率推至大萧条以来的最高水平，但非农就业降幅低于经济学家预测的2200万。尽管如此，4月的就业损失几乎抹去了美国在过去十年扩张中增加的所有工作，并暴露了广大美国人就业岗位的岌岌可危。
乍一看，失业率没有预期的那么糟糕，金价最初下跌，但需要记住的是，美国的失业率非常高。
最近美国一些政府官员力推各州开始重新开放经济，也助燃了市场对冠状病毒最严重后果已经结束的乐观情绪，这也令黄金的吸引力受限。
美联储宣布下周将以70亿美元/天的速度购买国债，进一步放慢了自3月份开始的无限量购债计划步伐，上周为80亿美元/天。自计划开始以来，为使市场在疫情期间平稳运行，美联储共购买了超过1.5万亿美元的国债，购债速度也在3月19日-4月1日期间达到了750亿美元/天的峰值。根据计划，美联储每天将进行一到两次操作，标的物为名义国债或通胀保值债券。
无论是面对全球财政赤字、货币贬值、负利率债券还是通胀等因素，黄金都有上涨的理由，接下去要关注的关键水平是1738美元/盎司。自4月中旬以来黄金市场就一直在1738至1678美元/盎司的区域内，其面对的是一个非常有趣的阶段，如果金价能有效突破1738水平，那么投资者的兴趣会大幅升温，此前的看着趋势将会继续下去。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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