美国数据表现不佳,金价升高
关键词:美国数据表现不佳
12月19日,美国公布了一系列的经济数据,当中美国的三季度经常账赤字超出预期,制造业数指数不及预期,同时初请失业金数据也表现较差,在一系列数据的较差表现下,现货黄金短线上涨。
具体数据显示,美国第三季度经常帐实际公布赤字1241亿美元,预期赤字1220美元,前值赤字1282美元。
由于进口急剧下滑,且基本收入盈余增加,美国第三季度经常账赤字降至逾一年低位,为2018年第二个季度以来的最低水平。
美国上周初请失业金申领人数自前一周的逾两年高位下滑,减少1.8万人至23.4万人,降幅虽未抵消前一周4.9万人的增幅,但考虑到感恩节假期之后的就业情况波动往往较大,认为就业市场持续走强的趋势没有改变。
数据还显示,美国12月费城联储制造业指数实际公布0.3,预期8,前值10.4。美国12月费城联储制造业指数刷新今年1月以来新低。其中分项,美国12月费城联储制造业就业指数17.8,前值21.5。
分析指出,美国制造业就业岗位的流失已经开始。问题在于,领先的就业指标仍在下降,这表明制造业放缓趋势可能还会至少持续数月。
美联储官员周三表示,在今年三次降息后,目前美国经济状况良好,凸显出美联储将在短期内维持借贷成本在当前水平的共识。
纽约联储主席威廉姆斯周三也对2020年前景表达了乐观的看法。威廉姆斯在接受采访时表示,“我对今年的经济形势及其发展状况,以及明年的经济前景感到乐观。”威廉姆斯预计美国经济明年将增长2%左右,失业率将保持在目前3.5%的水平附近,通胀率将接近美联储2%的目标。
另外,目前市场关注的是美国零售方面的情况。美国零售商预计将在今年的“超级星期六”创下销售纪录,因为感恩节和圣诞节之间的日子比往常更少,迫使购物者抓紧时间完成他们的购物。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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