美国PMI数据远低预期,金价跳升
关键词:金价跳升
10月1日,现美国公布了9月PMI俗制造业数据,数据显示远低于市场预期,在数据公布后,现货黄金短线跳升,日内波动由跌转涨,而美元指数则短线下挫,非美货币得到不同程度的回升。
具体数据显示,美国9月ISM制造业PMI实际公布47.80,预期50.5,前值49.1。美国9月ISM制造业PMI录得2009年6月以来最低水平。
其中分项,美国9月ISM制造业就业指数实际公布46.30,前值47.4。分析师认为就业分项表现不及前值也可能预示本周非农就业数据表现不佳。
市场分析指出,美国8月建筑支出几乎没有增加,因非住宅项目支出连续第二个月下降,抵消了9个月来最大的私人住宅投资增长。私人住宅项目支出则跃升0.9%,为2018年11月以来的最大增幅,此前7月份增长0.6%。
美国供应管理协会ISM称,全球贸易局势仍是最重要的问题,当前商业信心的持续下降。从2019年7月开始的新出口订单收缩就证明了这一点。总体而言,本月的人气对近期增长仍持谨慎态度。
分析表示,近期经济出现恶化的一个关键因素是,以贸易为主导的制造业放缓,且走弱趋势进一步蔓延到服务业。分析认为,企业仍在担忧贸易和经济前景不确定性带来的不利因素。虽然制造业逆风有所缓解带来一线曙光,但工业环境依然是2009年以来最严峻局面之一。
调查显示,由于企业风险厌恶情绪增加,企业员工数量自2010年1月以来首次下降,且削减成本意愿增加。同时,价格压力有所缓解,当月商品和服务投入成本和平均售价再次下滑,显示出10年来最弱的通胀环境。
此外刚刚美国公布的9月Markit制造业PMI终值 预期。具体数据显示,美国9月Markit制造业PMI终值实际公布51.10,预期51,前值51。
与ISM制造业PMI同时公布的,还有营建支出数据,具体数据显示,美国8月营建支出月率实际公布0.1%,预期0.5%,前值0.1%。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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