资金涌向股市，但美元好日子到头
关键词：资金涌向股市
4月16日，现货黄金逼近1280关口，几乎回吐年初以来所有的涨幅，而股市和黄金的关系转为负相关，同时在近期内可能进一步拉低金价。但分析师表示，目前做多黄金是一个好机会，因为美元被高估了。
黄金市场近期表现令人失望，现货黄金当前已经逼近1280美元水平，几乎回吐年初以来所有涨幅。黄金在周二欧洲时段早些时候走低，并跌至一周半周低点至1282.54美元/盎司，接近1281-1282美元的重要横向支撑位。贵金属未能利用隔夜尾盘反弹超过一周的低点，并连续第四个交易日继续受到一些抛售压力。
股市表现平衡，而市场对贸易争端的解决较为乐观，这支撑了风险情绪，影响了投资者的避险需求。
最近美国财政部长Steven Mnuchin周一发表的评论进一步推动了近期对美中贸易谈判的乐观态度，称谈判取得了很大进展，双方可能接近最后一轮贸易谈判。
由于市场对经济衰退的担忧缓解，投资者纷纷涌入股市，黄金价格因此受到冲击，但一家公司仍认为，由于金融市场仍受到经济增长放缓的威胁，黄金仍有潜力。
目前一个值得注意的是特朗普和美联储之间不断加剧的冲突。周一，特朗普在推特上再次表达了他对美国货币政策的不满，称如果美联储的工作做得很好，股市将会上涨5000到10000点。
分析师称，我们认为黄金走势非常具有建设性。即使过去几周我们看到了股市和债券收益率复苏，但是实际或经通胀调整后的收益率仍然非常低。而从历史上来看，这对黄金走势是一个很好的指标。
尽管一季度全球经济增长放缓问题引发了市场担忧，这在某种程度上不利于一些对经济增长更为敏感的新兴市场货币表现。但分析师认为，这种担忧是暂时的，随着经济增长环境的改善，“新兴市场极具建设性”。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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