鲍威尔言论反转，黄金多头获生机
关键词：鲍威尔鸽派言论
11月29日，现货黄金价格持续稳定，并创下三个交易日的新高。因美联储主席鲍威尔意外发表鸽派的言论。在安抚了投资者对升息不发的担忧之后，美元延续上周跌势。同时鲍威尔暗示美联储升息接近尾声。
鲍威尔周三(11月28日)表示：“美联储试图确保美国经济运行不至于偏离现行轨道，逐步加息的政策意在平衡风险。”这话似乎暗示，美联储升息接近尾声。受此影响，美元自盘中录得的近两周高位97.538下滑。
分析师称：“从纯粹美元交易角度来看，美联储的鸽派立场相对具有建设性，可能会令美元下跌，并一直持续到年底，这对金价而言非常重要。美元走软有助中国和印度等其他本土货币回归交易，从而有望加大黄金吸引力。”
分析师称：“鲍威尔的讲话暗示，2019年内美联储将在更长的时间内维持观望模式，任何加息的假设都是言之尚早的。”
美联储副主席克拉里达周二表示，美联储应更加关注新出炉的经济数据，因其逐步升息令利率愈发接近中性立场。整体而言，经济基本面和就业市场仍“强劲”，薪资增长加快。他预计，经济增长将至少持续到明年下半年，为美国有记录以来最长的扩张。
周四稍晚将公布美联储11月7-8日会议纪要，投资者预期将会提供更多货币紧缩路径的线索。
市场还关注本周稍晚在布宜诺斯艾利斯的20国集团(G20)会议。届时美国总统特朗普和中国国家主席习近平将讨论贸易事宜。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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