金价短期难以翻身，何时迎来机会
关键词：金价下跌
农历七月刚刚开始，黄金投资市场却已经陷入低谷。目前黄金正进入一个关键时刻，并且此举动将决定金价长期去世的走向。大田环球贵金属分析师认为，美元驱使的黄金低谷期可能在短期内持续，金价在未来数日还可能因为美元的强势而加速下跌。
对于那些做多黄金及希望金价好转的投资者来说，这是一个可怕的时刻。不少投资者经不住“徒手接刀”的诱惑，买进黄金期待金价反弹。然而，今年夏天这些看多金价的预期屡次受挫，因金价持续下行。
受全球贸易冲突恶化、地缘政治风险加深与土耳其货币危机加剧等因素影响，市场避险情绪增温，美元指数上周五（8月10日）一度突破96这一重要关口，创13个月新高。与此同时，包括欧元、人民币和俄罗斯卢布等其它货币继续下跌。目前，卢布已跌至近两年最低水平。
金价近期大幅下挫背后的主要原因是美元指数的持续升值。美元指数的出色表现是金价的重大阻力，或许会成为金价短期另一次大跌的催化剂。美元的持续升值无疑对金价没有任何帮助。
美元近期的强势得益于关于美国经济增长前景的一系列好消息。上周，芝加哥联储主席埃文斯指出，对美国经济来说，这是一个非常好的时期。美国经济的强劲将允许美联储在今年年底前再加息1到2次。这一消息提振美元走强，但对高利率感到不安的黄金投资者来说，这不是一个好消息。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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