特朗普顽固推行保护政策，原油暴跌
6月18日，国际油价延续上个交易日美洲时段的跌势。此前中美贸易争端升级，中国威胁要对包括原油在的美国商品开征关税，以报复美国欲“对500亿美元从中国进口商品加征高额关税”的做法。同时OPEC和俄罗斯的供应也预计将增加，后者可能抢占原本属于美国的市场份额。
中国上周五(6月15日)称，将对包括石油在内的多种美国大宗商品加征关税，以报复美国欲“对500亿美元从中国进口商品加征高额关税”的做法。
新加坡辉立期货的Benjamin Lu表示：“原油价格崩盘，因上周美中贸易紧张情势升高。北京已经以美国原油最大进口国的地位进行报复，这些双边贸易惩罚性措施令投资人感到不安，因这损及全球经济成长。”
近期美国对中国的原油出口额飙升，从2017年初的每月仅有1亿美元，升至目前的接近10亿美元/月。
中美陷入贸易争端之际，正值油市处于关键时刻。因有报导称，主要产油国沙特和俄罗斯都可能增产，此消息加剧了国际油价颓势。
分析师表示：“因担忧OPEC提高产量，油价在过去三周遭遇沉重卖压。”该机构并称，新兴市场的需求走疲以及贸易争端的升级，加上库存上升，都进一步打压油价。
尽管如此，高盛在报告中称：“油市仍处于供应短缺状态，需要核心OPEC成员国和俄罗斯增产，以避免库存在年底前耗尽。”
以沙特为首的OPEC和参与减产的俄罗斯等国，将于6月22日在维也纳开会讨论生产政策，俄罗斯和沙特都在推动增产。
分析师称：“中国将不会毫无异议地接受美国关税。这是针锋相对的石油外交，OPEC/非OPEC组织将是这种石油外交的最大受益者，因为这种政策将挤占全球备用原油产能，并可能推高油价。”
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.