英国在脱欧里下一步大棋
英国的政治头条新闻、脱欧谈判的进展和围绕着人们期待已久的美国税收法案的最新消息，将在新一周的开始阶段继续影响英镑兑美元的走势。德商银行认为应把英国脱欧谈判立场视为一种战略，英镑兑美元可能重新测试1.32。
周末40名英国保守党议员准备通过签署一份不信任信来挑战特雷莎·梅(Theresa May)的领导地位。这一消息传出之际，正值欧盟方面给要求英国在两周内行动起来打破谈判僵局。因此最终对英镑造成了严重影响。
围绕英镑的情绪仍受到英国脱欧谈判的影响，尤其是在欧盟(EU)首席脱欧谈判代表巴尼尔指出，欧盟要求英国两周之内行动起来，才能打破僵局，进入第二阶段的经贸谈判。与此同时，Visa的最新报告显示，英国消费者支出下降速度是四年来最快的，也与英镑疲软有关。
值得注意的是，英镑是上周表现最好的，由于英国工业生产和商品贸易赤字数据令市场意外上升，英国央行进一步加息的希望支撑了英镑。更重要的是，在美国税收改革的背景下，美元的普遍疲软也给英镑兑美元的反弹提供了额外的支撑。
英国的政治头条新闻和围绕着人们期待已久的美国税收法案的最新消息，将在新一周的开始阶段继续影响英镑兑美元的走势。
分析师表示，欧盟方面越来越多地强调英国方面的谈判目标“不现实”，目前外汇市场还没有把注意力集中在12月的欧盟峰会上。
分析师认为，单纯把英国的谈判立场归结为“不现实”太片面了。相反，应该把英国的立场视为一种战略。战略的核心在于假定，最终欧盟将屈服。毕竟，英国作为一个国家的整体，可以比多个国家组成的欧盟，更容易地保持稳定，而经济困难不仅仅会冲击英国，也将影响欧洲。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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