澳洲联储11月维稳概率大
周二(11月1日)亚市早盘，澳元兑美元在小幅高开后呈现窄幅震荡整理态势，汇价徘徊在隔夜收盘价0.7604附近。即将出炉的澳洲联储利率决议乃周二基本面的重中之重。
市场普遍预计澳洲联储将维持1.5%的历史低位利率不变。期货市场价格显示，澳储降息概率仅为4%。国内房地产市场火爆，大宗商品出口形势改善，均抑制了澳储进一步放宽银根的意图。
但在随后公布的政策声明中会否出现意外的试探性措辞，从而对市场心理造成冲击，这一可能性目前无法排除。毕竟，澳洲通胀水平长期低迷，就业市场近来表现也不十分景气。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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