美联储布拉德：12月会议是最有可能的加息节点
美国圣路易斯联储主席布拉德(James Bullard)周一(10月24日)表示，美联储(FED)今年12月会议是最有可能的加息节点。不过，美国利率水平可能将在数年时间里保持在非常低的水平上。
布拉德当天在阿肯色州发表演讲称，由于生产率较低，且投资者对避险资产有需求，未来两到三年内，低利率可能继续作为常态化存在。
他指出，“圣路易斯联储银行的结论是，政策利率调升一次、25基点，将让我们在预测时间段里非常接近于泰勒规则所暗示的水平。”
根据9月的政策声明，联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)多数与会人士都预计年底前会有一次升息。美联储主席耶伦(Jannet Yellen)10月14日表示，她认为有“貌似合理的方法”让经济运行火热来治愈问题。
布拉德在演讲后告诉记者，“在我们的框架内，没有紧迫性。我会在即将到来的一次会议上支持加息，但从我们的角度来看，不必是任何特定的会议。”
他提到，“委员会不希望在没有新闻发布会的会议上做出重要决策， 因此这表明12月份会议是最可能的节点。”
与此同时，布拉德还指出，“今年下半年的经济增长预估看上去并不骄人。”他还非常担忧泡沫问题，因股市看上去估值很高，但并不认为科技股或房地产市场存在很大泡沫。
在提及FOMC委员们下调点阵图展望时，布拉德表示，“FOMC成员们必须调整长期展望数字，因为形势出现变化并且经济也将不同，未来某个时点的利率将会高于如今水平。”
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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