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黄金牛市或正在发生中 投行纷纷调升金价预期

年初至今,黄金价格已累计上涨近26%,或每盎司逾280美元。当前价格即将接近8月初触及的两年高点。这是金价自1980年以来录得的最佳半年度表现。

这种反弹令许多分析师感到惊讶,今年年初,绝大多数的投资和机构分析师预期这种金属的价格会在今年跌至1000美元水准下方,且其今年的平均水准会低于去年达1160美元的水准。

许多黄金空头投资者已改变了投资方向,且包括瑞银在内的一些大型银行认为金价可在年底之前达到1400美元水准。瑞士信贷和美林银行甚至认为金价可在进入2017年之际触及1500美元水准。另一家持看跌态度的机构——荷兰ABN Amro银行也已将其目标价位上调至了1425美元水准。

Kitco报告称加拿大投资银行RBC Capital Markets目前已加入了黄金的看多行列,该行已大幅上调了其先前所给出的预期。该行目前认为金价可在2017和2018年升至1500美元水准,而其此前所给出预期则为1300美元。

RBC依然引述了其往常所给出较为乐观前景中的几个要素,包括“英国/欧元区地缘政治风险的增加、系统性风险的增加、政府债券负收益率的不断增多以及美联储追求更为稳健货币政策的可能性。”这家总部位于多伦多的投资银行为金矿股投资者带来了更多的利好消息。

该行重申投资者应该着眼于金矿股,进而对黄金进行投资,尤其是在目前的金价环境所产生的自由现金流不断增多情况下。”


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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