通胀仍偏低 美联储不应急于再次升息
关键词：通胀仍偏低 美联储不应急于再次升息
美国费城联储主席哈克周二(2月16日)表示，美联储(FED)需要等到更多证据显示美国通胀率上升后再继续升息，可能是明智之举。他并敦促美联储在制定政策方面至少暂时应采取“保守”路线。
哈克称，他预期一旦金融与能源市场回稳，美联储就能够以更加“行之有效的”方式在2016年下半年升息，但也不排除在2016年上半年升息的可能性。哈克在2015年年中出任费城联储总裁，但自此之后一直默默无闻，他在2016年并没有FOMC的政策投票权。
眼下有越来越多的人怀疑，考虑到市场震荡和对全球增长状况的担忧，美联储会否继续收紧政策。
据利率期货显示，交易商认为今年再次升息的几率仅为30%。哈克的言论意味着，虽然不急于继续升息，但美联储也不打算放弃循序渐进采取行动的计划。
哈克表示，“先静待观望，直到通胀数据更为强劲再实施第二次升息，这或许是明智的作法。我对近期政策前景的看法比几个月前更谨慎一些。油价和美元企稳是为升息奠定祭出的关键。”
他预计，到年底失业率将降至4.7%，薪资增长超过2%。同时，随着能源价格企稳，2016年下半年通胀率为1.5%。
尽管面临市场风险，但哈克对美国经济仍‘有信心’，预计2016年GDP增长2.7%。他指出，“我预计不会出现衰退，不存在美国经济基本面疲弱的问题。”
对于近期有关负利率的猜测，哈克认为，美联储下一步政策行动不是降息，考虑再实施一轮量化宽松计划的“意愿非常低”，但不排除这种可能性。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.