德国12月实际零售销售月率下滑
关键词：德国12月实际零售销售月率下滑
周五（1月29日）公布的数据显示，德国12月零售销售下滑，意味着2015年以疲软告终，暗示德国个人消费可能在2015年第四季度丧失动能。个人消费一直是德国经济增长的重要驱动力。
德国联邦统计局（FSO）周五公布，德国12月零售销售月率下滑0.2%，路透调查的经济学家曾预估上升0.5%，11月上修为0.4%。
Dekabank经济学家Andreas Scheuerle称，温和的天气可能打压零售销售，因为消费者不愿购买冬季用品，自经历去年12月温暖如春的天气之后。他称：“这意味着德国第四季度的经济支柱个人消费可能略有下滑。德国12月产出或出口需要表现良好才能推动季度增长向0.25%攀升。”
德国联邦统计局2月12日将公布第四季度GDP初值数据。德国2015全年GDP料增长1.7%，2015第四季度或增长0.25%左右，第三季度为增长0.3%。
德国12月零售销售年率上升1.5%，但逊于预估的上升2.0%。
尽管如此，德国家庭支出前景依旧维持乐观，因德国就业达纪录高位且薪资同时上涨，因利率降低使德国消费者缺乏存款动力。消费今年仍有望支持德国经济。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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