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美联储九月加息几率攀升 黄金再度遭受利空

关键词:美联储九月加息几率攀升 黄金再度遭受利空

北京时间8月7日晚间,美国政府公布了7月非农数据,非农业就业增加21.5万,低于市场预期,失业率持稳于5.3%的七年低位,接近美联储估测的充分就业水平5%-5.2%,劳动参与率则持稳于62.6%,为1977年以来最低水平。

路透社评论称,美国7月非农就业稳定增长,主要原因是建筑业、制造业、服务业以及工厂就业岗位的增加,远大于矿业就业岗位的减少,此外薪资也不再停滞不前,表明美国经济正在不断改善,当前就业市场接近充分就业。这两个理由为美联储在9月加息提供了支撑。

美国联邦基金利率期货亦显示,美联储9月加息概率从此次非农数据公布前的46%升至56%;美联储12月加息概率则从72%升至79%。

尽管数据低于预期,偏离幅度不大,美联储依然处于加息轨道上。若如期加息,这将是美国自2006年以来的首次加息。

非农数据公布后,美元指数一度冲高至98.34,刷新4月以来新高,但随后回落。北京时间8月9日晚间10时31分,报97.62。

近日来,黄金接连遭受多重利空打击。世界最大的黄金上市交易基金(ETF)SPDR黄金持仓量在7月大幅减少38.74吨,降至672.7吨,达到2008年3月以来的最低水平。该基金当月减仓水平为2014年12月以来最高的一次。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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