高盛：短期金价将强劲长期仍看空
关键词：高盛看空长期金价
高盛(Goldman Sachs)近期的报告显示，该行认为短期金价表现强劲，但长期仍然看空。
在高盛的报告中称，预计今年第一季度黄金均价1290美元/盎司，将受到近期欧洲央行[微博]QE的支撑，而今年晚些时候，市场的注意力则会转移到美联储升息上。
分析师们认为，令人实物的生产数据、低通胀会使得美联储到9月才升息。
报告称：“由于美国和全球经济的复苏，金价的上行将受到限制，尽管欧洲央行和瑞士央行的货币政策有所改变，但这些影响因素已经体现在了目前的价格中。”
高盛认为金价在第一季度将有良好的支撑，但最终在第二季度开始至下半年都会下跌。预计6个月后的金价在1270美元/盎司，12个月后至1175美元/盎司。
高盛预计年底的金价将为1190美元/盎司，2016年金价1000美元/盎司，2016年黄金均价1050美元/盎司。
高盛的报告表示：“由于低通胀和通缩的影响，且有低能源价格的影响，黄金矿企的边际成本也会下降，因此对长期的金价下行有更大预期。”
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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