受年内美联储加息预期推动 美国国债获投资者追捧
关键字：受年内美联储加息预期推动 美国国债获投资者追捧
美国国债周二上涨，实现连续第五个季度走高，为逾10年来最长连涨走势。
10年期美国国债收益率尾盘报1.93%，周一为1.959%。
美国规模12.5万亿美元的国债市场持续吸引投资者，因全球增长不均且发达国家通胀低迷。美国在过去这个冬季的经济数据表现错综，以提升投资者对美联储将保持宽松货币政策的预期，而这对债券价格有利。
美国国债也提供比其他发达国家债券更高的收益率，这是投资者持续追捧国债的另一个原因。
国债收益率上一次连续五个季度下降是在2001年3月份，当时10年期国债收益率为4.923%。
美国国债收益率自2014年初以来一路下降，令许多华尔街交易员和分析师感到困惑，因他们预期债券收益率将随美国经济改善和加息前景而攀升。部分投资者仍预期债券收益率将在未来几个月温和上升。
高盛集团(Goldman Sachs Group Inc.，GS)的债券策略师现在预期2015年底10年期国债收益率为2.5%，低于年初时预期的3%。
许多投资者仍认为利率在今年夏季上升的可能性很小。芝加哥商业交易所(CME)的数据显示，投资者和交易员用来押注美联储政策走向的联邦基金期货周二反映出，市场认为6月加息的可能性仅6%，10月加息的可能性则为54%。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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