市场料今年年底前美联储加息概率将低于50%
关键字：市场料今年年底前美联储加息概率将低于50%
据外媒报道，在美联储(FED)主席耶伦(Janet Yellen)调低经济前景和收紧货币政策步伐后，货币市场期货交易者削减美联储加息几率，市场认为，美联储在12月之前加息的几率都低于50%。
无独有偶，据彭博社联邦基金期货合同数据显示，周二(3月17日)政策制定者将在9月提升基准利率几率从55%降至39%。期货交易者对6月加息几率失去信心，可能性已暴跌至11%。
美国银行(Bank of America)利率策略师Brian Smedley认为，政策制定者联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)删去加息“耐心”措辞，关键转变是未来两年政策制定者调低基准利率的预期水平。
从利率预期“点状图”来看，美联储决策者对于2015年底联邦基金利率最新预期中值调整至0.625%，而去年12月该值为1.125%。
Smedley说，“美联储期望表达的信号是，(货币政策)正常化进程将放缓，联储将继续支持经济复苏。”
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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