IMF对全球经济复苏表示担忧
关键字:IMF对全球经济复苏表示担忧
据英国媒体报道,国际货币基金组织(IMF)总裁拉加德16日称,全球经济复苏依然“太慢、太脆弱、太不均衡”,她特别指出各国货币政策出现分化构成风险,这可能导致金融市场动荡。
拉加德重申IMF的经济预测,即继全球金融危机爆发后六年多,全球经济今年料仅增长3.5%,2016年预计将增长3.7%。
“经过这样一场危机后,这仍然逊于原本会预期的水准,”拉加德在印度新德里一场对女学生发表的演说中说。
“展望未来,在低油价和低利率支持下,情况或许会好转。不过,全球这么脆弱的经济复苏依然面临很大风险。”
在各种风险中,拉加德首先提到的是发达经济体“货币政策分歧”,美国和英国货币政策立场逐渐趋于正常化,欧元区及日本则是扩大宽松。
“就算这一进程控管得宜,仍可能导致金融体系充斥过多流动资金,印度也不例外,”拉加德在预先准备好的讲稿中指出。
她同时表示,欧元区及日本有陷在低成长及低通胀的风险,使其难以降低失业及债务,同时也导致衰退及通缩压力升高。
在新兴市场方面,拉加德称可能面临美元走强、全球利率上扬、及资本流动波动加剧等“三重打击”。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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