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傑克遜霍爾年會來臨 美元黃金雙雙震盪

傑克遜霍爾年會來臨 美元黃金雙雙震盪

現貨黃金截止至2019年8月23日2:00收盤于1498.9美元/盎司,昨日黃金在亞盤時段保持震盪運行,直至歐盤的到來,黃金隨之而來迎來下跌行情,最終到達區間低點位置1492美元/盎司位置受支撐承托止跌並展開反彈,整體行情依舊維持在1508-1492美元/盎司區間內運行。

製造業PMI資料不理想:美國8月Markit製造業PMI初值實際公佈49.9,預期50.5,前值50.4,這是自2009年9月以來製造業以來首次跌至50下方。該指數低於50榮枯線意味著經濟活動下降,8月資料可能加劇對美國經濟步入衰退的擔憂,海外經濟疲弱和國際貿易局勢拖累了美國經濟。資料還顯示,美國8月Markit綜合PMI初值實際公佈50.9,前值52.6。美國8月Markit服務業PMI初值實際公佈50.9,預期52.8,前值53。

9月降息概率下降:三位美聯儲決策者異口同聲反對有關美國經濟需要更低利率的觀點,預示著下個月美聯儲會議上對於是否再次降息將有一場激烈辯論。投資者已經充分定價美聯儲9月17日至18日會議降息25個基點,美聯儲內的異議可能會限制一些人提倡的更大幅度行動的可能性——其中包括美國總統特朗普。隨著美聯儲官員意見產生分歧,市場對於美聯儲9月份降息50個基點的預期下滑。

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