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联储鹰派卸任 黄金蓄力反弹

截止至本日北京时间14:30,国际现货黄金价格为1225.47美元/盎司,最高价为1225.49美元,最低价为1220美元,上涨了3.77美元,涨幅为0.31%。

欧元区数据好坏参半:数据编制机构周二公布的调查显示,欧元区9月综合PMI初值跌至九个月低点52.3,低于市场预期的52.58月终值为52.5。与此同时,其中法国9月制造业PMI初值下创四个月新高,德国9月制造业PMI初值不及预期但服务业向好。其中,欧洲制造业和服务业增速降至今年最低,进一步表明该地区经济增长日渐萎靡,但由于法国与德国两大欧元区经济大国的数据向好,也推动了欧元有走高的迹象,相互抵消了对黄金的影响力度。

美联储两大鹰派将退休:费城联储923日宣布,有美联储“鹰王”之称的主席普罗索将于明年31日退休。另外,达拉斯联储主席费希尔也将在明年4月卸任,二者是美国联邦公开委员会最为强势的鹰派,且拥有投票权,因此二者的卸任也将令美联储提前加息的预期弱化。具体而言,少了两大鹰派后的联邦基金利率,预期将较当前下降0.25个百分点,根据过往投票记录,若剔除二者对加息时点的预测,或会延迟加息的时间,从而利好国际金价。


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