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macd双底背离

关键字:macd双底背离

macd双底背离

什么是macd的双底背离?macd双底背离是指现货黄金价格K线的总体趋势是向下运行的,虽然途中了一次反弹,但反弹带来的是进一步的下跌,因此我们对主盘面画出趋势线时,趋势线构成的通道为向下扩张的形态,而macd指标的绿柱则连续缩减放量或红柱连续增量,或者DIF呈现拐点逐步上行并穿过零轴的现象。

炒黄金入门阶段学过关于MACD的简单用法的人士都知道,MACD指标具有背离性质,分为底背离和顶背离两种,一般底背离比顶背离较难反转,在macd指标与K线走势形成一次底背离以后,K线并没有马上开出大阳线,K线组合所形成的趋势依旧没有明显的多头行情,当出现好几次的底背离状态,且K线有上行迹象时,这时候我们才可以大胆进场交易多单。

因此macd双底背离的出现,是行情开始发转为看涨的信号,当macd指标形成双底背离,K线出现反弹收阳,这时正是新一轮多头行情的开始,这一点在实际贵金属挂单交易过程中, Macd双底背离的趋势越明显,交易方向准确率就越高。

Macd的背离现象出现以后,最终其走势都会和K线图的走势一致,因此当K线图开出阳线时,若macd双底背离以后,DIF线仍保持上行势头,且与零轴几乎持垂直关系,阳线也跟随DIF拐点的向上运行而拉长,则可以确定这次来的现货黄金行情将十分猛烈,可能会刷新历史高点。

通常macd双底背离是在现货黄金价格出现一轮明显的暴跌行情之后出现的,这个时候的行情已经进入超卖区,因此在低位能够吸纳一定的买盘,而当买盘数量积累到一定程度时,必然会爆发多头行情,macd双底背离也被很多现货黄金投资者们认定为“抄底形态”。

但是在一些时候,macd双底背离会有失效的情况,例如当macd指标出现两次的底背离,现货黄金K线依旧呈暴跌以后的横盘震荡状态,这就说明macd底背离还需要出现第三次或以上,才能令K线开出阳线,继而确定多头行情,也就是说,macd双底背离的效用,需要结合K线走势的形态来确定,脱离K线形态单单进行macd指标形态的分析,对后市预测并没有多大的技术性指导意义。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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