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根据黄金现金成本判断金价

关键字:根据黄金现金成本判断金价

根据黄金现金成本判断金价

如何根据黄金现金的成本来判断金价?黄金现金的成本也指黄金的开采成本,黄金现金的成本是指维持一个金矿正常运营的最基本的费用,包括对黄金的开采、加工、提炼等,它也是对黄金的生产劳动率高低的体现。

由上述概念可以得知,黄金现金成本通常是反映在金价具有强劲支撑意义的底部,所以黄金分析师一般根据黄金现货成本来判断金价的底部,即金价最低可以跌到哪儿,一旦金价跌穿生产成本,那么黄金矿产企业将面临经营亏损,不得不减产黄金,以节约生产规模,同时下调黄金现金成本,从较为长远的角度上看,黄金现金成本的下调意味着黄金供应量一定程度受到限制,在需求不变的情况下,减产黄金将使实物黄金市场出现供不应求的现象,从而拉动伦敦金行情上涨。

但全球各地的黄金矿企所面临的开采潜力和获利空间大小都是各有差异,单看某个地区的黄金矿企其现金成本来估计金价的底部支撑,这个并不科学。我们应该统计全球黄金生产能力较强的大型矿企进行综合评估,还要对黄金具有的属性从而引发的黄金投资及消费偏好情绪分析,只有黄金现金成本能真正刺激黄金需求量的增大,才能指引金价走势。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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