机构再度出手增持 现货黄金准备攻坚
关键字：现货黄金走势预测
周一欧洲盘前，国际现货黄金在早盘高开高走之后，维持震荡整理态势。由于1280上方具备较为强大的阻力，虽然近期刺激黄金持续上攻的地缘政治因素依然具备，但是本周美国将会有较多数据出台，而美联储决议也会指引金价的短期走势，所以本周的黄金行情将会较为复杂。
美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)本周末发布的报告显示，截至上周为止，投机者持有的黄金期货净多头小幅增加1,976手，至净多头61,127手，为三周来首次增加，显示以对冲基金为主的大型投机者看多黄金意愿有所增强。而另一方面，黄金ETF整体持仓状况较为平稳。2014年初，黄金ETF以流入为主。最近几个月，黄金ETF流出才较为严重。但与2013年，黄金ETF持续不断的减仓相比，2014年黄金ETF持仓趋于稳定。这对于黄金来说或是一大利好消息。
同时，中国方面的黄金需求也相当巨大，这主要集中在两个方面，首先，中国日渐复苏，中产阶层队伍不断壮大。这对或刺激中国大众对黄金珠宝等的实物消费需求。其次，黄金作为投资资产的低位不容动摇。中国民众不愿意将资金过多放置在房地产和股市。即使在经济较疲弱时，黄金仍可作为避险投资产品。这表明，中国黄金投资需求依然很旺盛。
技术分析：由黄金日K线图上看，由于目前金价正接近1285美元的技术阻力点位，加上1287是60日均线的重压力区域，因此我们预计黄金本周的涨幅将受到一定限制，加上技术指标上，KDJ和RSI等强弱指标已经进入超买区间，在持续上涨后，黄金在短期内很可能有技术回调的可能性，因此我们大田贵金属建议投资者等回调过后再行介入。
操作建议：
做多：开仓1280 止盈1287 止损1274
做空：开仓1288 止盈1282 止损1295
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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