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央行增持静悄悄 黄金静待逆转

关键字:黄金行情走势

欧洲盘前,伦敦金继续维持日内的震荡上扬走势,由于1255一线的压力较强,在缺乏明确的基本面利好刺激的情况下,到目前为止,黄金的涨幅仍然受到限制,而低位震荡蓄势,将会是本周黄金走势的主要基调。

近日,国际货币基金组织(IMF)发布最新报告称,4月各大央行黄金需求较为旺盛。俄罗斯新增持黄金28吨,黄金总储备达1068吨;土耳其增持13吨,至497吨;哈萨克斯坦黄金储备增加2.7吨,至151吨。本年度4月,黄金购买净需求超过44吨。俄罗斯黄金储备首度超过中国,世界排行晋升第6位。

而另一方面,欧洲和英国均持续实行量化宽松政策,虽然市场预期美国将会推出QE,但是全球货币持续宽松的情况将不会有太大的改变,欧洲央行试图贬值欧元的举动会使得其它国家央行也同样贬值自己的货币。在全球经济依然疲软的情况下,全球没有哪个国家会愿意让自己的货币升值来牺牲自己的经济。而货币疲软则毫无疑问对黄金的利好的。这也是近期多个国家央行纷纷增持黄金的最重要理由。

技术分析:根据我们对伦敦金技术分析所得,由黄金日K线图上看,昨日伦敦金行情价格出现微幅下跌,收出倒垂线,日内波动幅度不大,虽然黄金已经顺利突破MA10和MA5两大短期均线的压制,震荡上行,但是总体来看近期黄金的走势力度仍然较弱,因此震荡整理成为了黄金近期走势的主要选择,不过,随着技术指标的不断修复,黄金有望迎来一波反弹。

操作建议:

做多:开仓1251 止盈1257 止损1245

做空:开仓1258 止盈1250 止损1265



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