现货黄金低调整理 后市还看就业数据
关键字：现货黄金走势预测
国际现货黄金和现货白银最近一个交易日窄幅振荡，在地缘政治主旨缓和的情况下，美国和俄罗斯围绕乌克兰问题做出的反应，暂时对黄金白银的影响依然较为微弱。日内黄金走势还需要看晚间公布的美国就业数据。
美国商务部(DOC)周三(4月23日)公布的数据显示，美国3月新屋销售年化月率暴跌14.5%至38.4万户，创去年7月以来最低水平，预期45.0万户，前值修正为44.9万户，初值44.0万户。巴克莱(Barclays)经济学家Michael Gapen表示，3月份新屋销售数据大幅下滑，显示出房屋市场仍然受到较高抵押贷款利率、上升的价格和严寒天气的影响。但是他预期，一旦近期天气因素的影响消退，美国房屋市场将会反弹，只是复苏速度较几年前有所放缓。
近期ETF基金减仓仍然较为坚决，今年以来，年初随着金价回升，黄金ETF也逆转了去年的流出而有了流入，然而，进入第二季度后，金价回落，而黄金ETF又出现了大量流出。SPDR黄金基金已经回吐出今年以来持有量的增加，这被认为是黄金市场悲观情绪再度主导的信号。目前已经是黄金ETF持有量连续第四周减少，这是去年12月以来的第一次。或许最重要的原因在于，目前持有黄金比持有其它贵金属都要更昂贵。
今日晚间有美国初请失业金人数公布。从预期看并不理想。如果实际数据高于预期，则对贵金属会产生利好推动。所以今日黄金白银虽然在亚盘有所回调，但不能过度看空。具体还要看美盘表现。
技术分析：
4小时图上看，国际黄金价格布林带严重收口，MA5有上穿MA10形成金叉的迹象，而MACD低位金叉放量运行，昨日伦敦金价格曾出现过4小时图形成小幅背离。近期乌俄事件再次升级或许就是黄金反弹的一个很好的契机，今日黄金操作依旧维持区间高抛低吸，等待突破顺势操作。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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