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非农数据万众期待 现货黄金低位反弹

关键字:现货黄金行情

美国劳工部定于北京时间周五20:30公布3月非农报告,该数据是决定美联储(FED)削减购债计划速度的关键因素,随着天气的变暖和经济数据的不断改善,投资者对美国非农数据的预估也更加乐观。同时高盛集团(Goldman)也认为,此次非农数据将进一步显现向好趋势。

但是,美国12月和1月非农就业岗位增幅大幅放缓,为三年来最差表现,但受冬季极端天气影响较大。美国劳工部3月7日公布的数据显示,美国2月非农就业人数增加17.5万,预期增加14.9万;美国2月份失业率6.7%,预期为6.6%。因此,非农就业数据也不能过于乐观,也不排除会出现意料之外的情况。

技术分析:现货黄金日内依托着5日均线的支撑有所反弹,虽然尚未看到有明显的反弹迹象,但是下跌力度已经基本趋缓,同时KDJ指标在低位出现金叉,预示着反弹很可能在短期出现。由短线15分钟K线图上看,布林通道在收窄之后再度形成向外发散的喇叭口迹象,现在现货黄金15分钟走势沿着布林线的上轨反弹。虽然黄金在技术上有触底迹象,但是在非农等数据尚未公布之前,黄金的短期方向依然未明,建议投资者先静待非农数据出炉之后再作打算。



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