避险需求不断升温 黄金现货价格有望冲1400
关键字:黄金现货价格
金价继续上涨并且突破1370美元/盎司的水平,午市最高涨至1374.45美元/盎司,是去年9月以来的最高水平。
中国出现的第一个债券违约引起了市场的关注,此外中国进口数据疲软拉低了基础金属的价格,铜价大跌。黄金的避险需求在这样的背景下有所升温。
在突破1355美元/盎司后,技术性买盘在过去两个交易日也对价格动量有所支撑。
“由于金价技术面上的突破,近期可能会出现投资者们获利了结的可能,除非东欧局势升级,”汇丰银行(HSBC)分析师在一份报告中写道,“地区冲突对黄金可能会有显著,但同时也很短暂的影响。”
目前黄金市场上最大的焦点就是乌克兰局势。
乌克兰方面,该国临时政府总理亚采纽克呼吁所有人冷静下来,“首先用脑子考虑问题”。他对那些要求与俄罗斯打仗的极端分子说,乌俄的军事力量对比情况,例如在空军方面,是1比98。此前乌克兰临时政府第一副总理维亚列马12日宣布,乌克兰军队即日起进入全面战备状态,开始全国范围内的军演。
3月16日本周日,克里米亚地区将进行全民公投,决定是否加入俄罗斯。
七国集团对俄罗斯发出警告,令其停止怂恿克里米亚公投,否则将面临制裁,欧盟成员国周三(3月12日)已经就对俄罗斯的制裁草案达成一致意见,欧盟外长将于下周一对该草案进一步审议以决定该草案是否正式生效。
技术面来看,路透技术分析师Wang Tao认为现货黄金目前面临的阻力点在1375到1377美元/盎司间,突破这一水平后将可涨至去年8月28日的1433.31美元/盎司的水平。
黄金价格若是直接上涨则是需要关注1400和1435这前期阻力位置,就目前暂时来看到前期1435的可能不大,1400倒是有些可能。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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