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美联储短期将维持宽松 金价或将止住跌势

关键字:美联储量化宽松、金价下跌、金价走势

上周央行意外由0.5%降至0.25%,而且美国的GDP向好,联手打压黄金,金价一度跌破千三关口。随后金价作出技术性反弹,不过再一次被十月强劲的非农数据打压,增长20.4万人,预期增长12.5万人,失业率7.3%。黄金甚至跌至1282三周来低点,大跌了1.5%下跌20美元。

但是美联储主席伯南克在上周五表示,认为美国失业率可能并没有真正的显示出美国劳动力市场的疲软。就业参与率过度的减少夸大了失业率的下滑”。

伯南克的言论表示了对于美国经济状况尤其是失业率的担忧,在非农数据造好的情况下,伯南克如此论调可能会让人觉得过于谨慎,不过这释放了一个信号,美联储本年内缩减QE已非不可,而是非不能,美联储会在未来一段时间内继续维持宽松,所以才今金价没出现进一步的下跌。

目前金价仍在1300下方,意味市场投资情绪更低迷,预计下一个支撑点1250,是十月十五日低点。在此价格下破前,不建议逄低买入,因大部分投资者寻求更低的价格入手,预计1200附近会出现大批买家 后市仍看跌为准,今天建议区间在1270-1295美元附近,上方见1300附近可向下做空,相反如上破1305,有机会试1310和1320美元;而下方在1265附近美元附近可向上做多,相反如穿1260的重要支持位,有机会到1255和1250美元附近。



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